I admit I'm surprised. Puzzled about how the only clear loser in the election for the 17th German Bundestag of deal 27/09/2009 with this result. The question is - of course - from the SPD.
Because now often done as if you had to swallow in the last four years troublesome lot of compromises in the grand coalition with the CDU / CSU, which was not clearly social democratic policies. Is that really so? Is it not rather the case that the former and now again standing for election, Chancellor Dr. Angela Merkel a much bigger problem had to sell her as a gesture of their own group sozialdemokratisierende chancellor, the CDU?
to much of policy making in the last four years has been perceived by citizens as a standstill, while having many breathed a sigh when the federal government, after some hesitation, decided earlier this year decided against the market and government intervention administration. This decision seems to have been correct, it was a typical continental European decision now by the English-speaking countries - initially half-hearted, now with some more on Verve - itself understood.
The causes for the current catastrophic development of the electoral potential of the SPD, however, has deep-rooted, and that the party knows exactly.
Again and again the slogan of "Hartz IV" thrown into the debate, what the SPD is now ultimately - is to have failed - especially by embracing electoral growth of the Left in West Germany. Because surely something is up. Not for nothing had Gerhard Schröder as the last Social Democratic Chancellor of a red-green government, throwing his entire Machtimpetus in the pan (and it also has lost the party presidency) to implement the Hartz laws. The fact that he assisted the Greens still have the possibility, should a decided fall - be who has taken them as a civil rights party, at least the social aspect and the social freidemokratisiert - just like Kosovo, like Afghanistan. This is for
The Greens are much less dramatic than for the SPD, but never saw the ecologists, the orientation of the social state of the Federal Republic as their primary task (this was so - really - the SPD responsible).
It may seem surprising now, when I state that with regard to the SPD Hartz IV is quite consistent. The party is much more performance-oriented than it might at first sight, which - by itself - is no error at all. The problem is that the active component of the "Demanding and conveyance" (note the order, which is already in the law was deliberate) has never worked and will not work in the future probably will. Apart from the fact that the current grand coalition can not even on how to deal with the further development of the Job Center (or associations), some in the basic security for jobseekers, one wonders already, such as an all-embracing - as constituted pursuant to law - Case Management should work, if that far, not even in parts of the Republic are. Instead, there is a penalty rate of about 4%. Some find it a little, I think this is an immense amount.
And I also circles around the actual core of the problem. Of course you can include with Wolfgang Clement take the position, be social, which create employment, and who does not think such is ultimately only too lazy to fund his lifestyle through their own work.
For long sections of those who now live at a level of social assistance, but basically the job market are available, but the hits just not the case. The SPD knows, of course, only too well and it acts strangely helpless, that they won as the temporary removal of your disabled graduates employment abolished by the CAM, has despite the fact that this has succeeded only, even university graduates with severe disabilities in an appreciable extent in the primary labor market accommodate. It
hitch so the social. That is - of course - one of the key problems when I get to the bottom even after only Civil constituencies to try (as one may assume that the quartet Steinmeier, Muentefering, Steinbrück and Schröder without further notice). The SPD will have now to prove the opposition because it just does not try to continue to be the better CDU (and it is hardly conceivable that the now An incoming coalition to provide a comprehensive labor market reform on the legs will be able , the same would be torn apart by the liberal public formally in Germany is not for nothing is a pretty but appropriate saying: "Only Nixon could go to China")..
But the Greens and the Left should not their - alleged - Election merits . Rest The fact that the LEFT of Weigend not for its content but because of the potential for protest against the SPD has been selected (which is especially West German Chand, in East Germany is the Left as Miliepartei quite a serious, more structurally conservative active People's Party) showed even exit polls well before the Bundestag election, in which the party was granted while the competence to make problems visible and agitation to get on the agenda of politics, but not a solution competence in this regard. This is not surprising, where the Left is sitting in the government (as in Berlin), making them each "Concerto for Strings" with that of the corresponding state budget seems to require.
almost as stunned as to the memento mori of the SPD, I was personally cheering on the howling of the Greens, have something get hold of more than 10% of the vote. Thus, the Group is the second time in a row up the rear with regard to the Group of strength in the German Bundestag last dar. This indeed down to make another four years, a decent opposition (and in the breadth of the topics that the Group may take into account purely real), indicated, however, already pointed out that the party, she continues to behave aggressively only on the ecological, gives birth to "the end of the road" has reached as far as the voter popularity. Also arises the question - I personally am no means a friend of this model, but for the option, the ability of the party plays a big role - whether it be the Greens at the federal level, can make long-term, bind exclusively to the SPD.
For that was evident throughout the campaign: that next to me to understand certainly millions of other people are not able to explore how the SPD and the Greens introduced a government contract by the voter for now. The SPD has built on the option of a so-called traffic light coalition, was with the Greens, the degree of clarity is not quite so clear, since both parties had excluded a coalition with the Left, this was only an option. The question that arises now is this just how realistic that is to be had anywhere. Neither the FDP in its coalition statement during this election campaign, only once "wobbled" (for which only one so far not considered particularly resistant force Dr. Guido Westerwelle already deserve applause), nor is currently really really imagine that those voters that the FDP have selected (there is such an astonishing voter of the SPD towards the FDP, which is so obvious that you only look at the election results from 2005 and 2009 on), a red-yellow-green alliance could have imagined or would this even desired (So ends up taking place in the pre-election exit polls, which coalition will all desirable, the grand coalition just before ... red-red-green, who would now seriously expected anything else?).
ascertaining numerical You must not: It will be interesting four years (because that the Christian-liberal coalition will hold over this period is probably due to their projection on mandates). For according to the still ongoing global economic crisis will leave many campaign promises of black and yellow do not hold. Neither will you get to the so-called "service providers" (which means above all FDP obviously something completely than would be realistic, that is almost exclusively their own constituencies) to relieve tax to the extent as has been previously promised to be made even more social "atrocities" particularly cruel. Erinenrt is just a word to the chancellor shortly after the election, it now had no fear. I think that is to be taken literally. Mrs. Dr. Merkel will maneuver sozialdemokratisierend in a similar way by the political environment, as it has already done that for four years.
proves what us: On the thesis of "fat", when at rest lies the power must be something in it. You will be in Germany for activism voters punished without mercy (see Schroeder), by expectant and late - in Merkel's case, usually not even too late - act you can collect the electorate only plus points. Well this does not work on the political left, in addition to warmth always has the right to one (or more) political project (s), but on the political right does it splendidly.
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